ABSTRACT
Objective To explore the predictive accuracy of two estimated fetal weight ( EFW ) standards ( INTERGROWT H and Hadlock) and Doppler parameters for late-onset fetal growth restriction ( FGR) . Methods A prospective cohort of women with singleton pregnancies who attended research scans and had a livebirth at the obstetrics and gynecology hospital of Fudan University during 32 - 41 weeks of gestation was involved . The markers of ultrasound examinations (including growth measurements ,umbilical artery and middle cerebral artery parameters) were obtained every two weeks . The INTERGROWT H -EFWc and Hadlock-EFWc data were obtained from the last ultrasonography ( within 7 days before delivery) and were used to predict later-onset FGR in a single model or in combined models with other Doppler parameters by logistic regression analyses ,respectively . According to delivery gestation of age and Chinese birth weight (BW) standards ,all cases were divided into a control group ( non-FGR ,BW ≥ 10th ％ ) and a FGR group ( Late-onset FGR ,BW < 10th ％ ) . ROC curve analyses were performed to compare the predictive accuracy for the late-onset FGR between the Hadlock-EFWc and INTERGROWT H-EFWc . Results A total of 820 eligible women were identified and 676 had finished the follow-up and were enrolled in this prospective cohort study . Among them ,116 neonates were assigned to the late-onset FGR group ,and 560 as control group ( non-FGR) . The cut-off value of the INTERGROWT H-EFWc was percentile 27 .5 ,at which had a sensitivity and specificity of 71 .4％ and 83 .7％ . The corresponding sensitivity and specificity were 87 .3％ and 82 .8％ at a cut-off value of percentile 22 .6 of the Hadlock-EFWc . The Hadlock-EFWc had a higher predictive accuracy for the late-onset FGR than the INTERGROWT H-EFWc ,their AUC were 0 .930 ( 0 .908 - 0 .953 ) and 0 .847 ( 0 .807 - 0 .888 ) ,respectively . The accuracy of Doppler single-parameter ( umbilical artery and middle cerebral artery) for late-onset FGR were low ( AUC < 0 .7) ,but the accuracy of combined model- Ⅰ and Ⅱ were high ( AUC 0 .865 and 0 .936 ,respectively) ,similar to their corresponding EFWc models ,respectively . Conclusions The INTERGROWT H-EFWc could predict effectively for late-onset FGR ,however ,its predictive accuracy is lower than that of the Hadlock-EFWc . The predictive accuracy of Doppler parameters for late-onset FGR are poor ,routine monitoring of non-selected populations is not recommended .